Kamis, 27 Februari 2014

Download Ebook Six Moments of Crisis: Inside British Foreign PolicyBy Former Chief Historian of the Gill Bennett

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Six Moments of Crisis: Inside British Foreign PolicyBy Former Chief Historian of the Gill Bennett


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Six Moments of Crisis: Inside British Foreign PolicyBy Former Chief Historian of the Gill Bennett

  • Published on: 2014-05-14
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 240 pages

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Rabu, 26 Februari 2014

PDF Ebook Because He Torments Me (Because He Owns Me, Book Three) (An Alpha Billionaire Romance)By Hannah Ford

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Introducing BECAUSE HE TORMENTS ME, the third book in the scorching Because He Owns Me series by Hannah Ford, bestselling author of WHAT HE WANTS…

Recent college grad Adriana O’Connor came to New York City to focus on starting her publishing career—not to fall in love. Even if she were looking for her soul mate, Callum Wilder would be the last person she would choose. The sexy and demanding billionaire is completely unattainable – not to mention his penchant for whips, chains, and punishment. Falling for Callum can only guarantee one thing – devastating heartbreak.

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*A hot and sexy alpha billionaire romance, perfect for fans of Ellie Danes, Cassie Cross, and J.S. Scott*

  • Sales Rank: #9197 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-09-03
  • Released on: 2015-09-03
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Minggu, 09 Februari 2014

Download Ethics: History, Theory, and Contemporary IssuesBy Steven M. Cahn, Peter Markie

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Ethics: History, Theory, and Contemporary IssuesBy Steven M. Cahn, Peter Markie

Ethics: History, Theory, and Contemporary Issues, Sixth Edition, features fifty-nine selections organized into three parts, providing instructors with great flexibility in designing and teaching a variety of courses in moral philosophy. Spanning 2,500 years of ethical theory, the first part, Historical Sources, ranges from ancient Greece to the twentieth century and now includes the complete text of John Dewey's Theory of Valuation. The second part, Modern Ethical Theory, includes many of the most important essays of the past century. The discussion of varieties of normative ethics continues in the work of major contemporary philosophers, while landmark selections reflect concern with moral language and the justification of morality. In the third part, Contemporary Moral Problems, the readings present the current debates over abortion, euthanasia, famine relief, environmentalism, and the use of torture in interrogations, as well as essays on the trolley problem, death, and the meaning of life. One-third of the selections are authored by women. Wherever possible, each reading is printed in its entirety.

The sixth edition adds study questions after each reading in order to help students delve more deeply into each work and also features eight new selections and expanded introductions. A password-protected Instructor's Manual is available on the book's Ancillary Resource Center.

  • Sales Rank: #122984 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-09-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.40" h x 1.30" w x 9.20" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 976 pages

Review

"Ethics is an excellent text, simply unmatched in its versatility. The selections are exceptionally well chosen."--Robert B. Talisse, Vanderbilt University


"There are so many excellent selections covering a broad range of authors and topics that instructors have a more than ample pool from which to construct any number of rich syllabi, allowing for lots of flexibility."--William J. Fitzpatrick, University of Rochester


About the Author

Steven M. Cahn is Professor of Philosophy at The City University of New York Graduate Center. He is the author or editor of more than fifty books. Most recently, he wrote From Student to Scholar: A Candid Guide to Becoming a Professor (2008) and coauthored Happiness and Goodness: Philosophical Reflections on Living Well (2015). Dr. Cahn is the editor of The World of Philosophy (OUP, 2015), Exploring Philosophy, Fifth Edition (OUP, 2014), Political Philosophy, Third Edition (OUP, 2014), and Exploring Ethics, Third Edition (OUP, 2013).

Peter Markie is Professor of Philosophy at the University of Missouri, Columbia. He is the author of Descartes's Gambit (1988) and the coauthor of Introducing Ethics (OUP, 2014).

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Ethics: History, Theory, and Contemporary IssuesBy Steven M. Cahn, Peter Markie PDF
Ethics: History, Theory, and Contemporary IssuesBy Steven M. Cahn, Peter Markie PDF

Kamis, 23 Januari 2014

PDF Ebook Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston

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Simulation Modeling Using @RISK: Updated for Version 4By Wayne L. Winston

With its understandable explanations of Monte Carlo and step-by-step instructions for Microsoft Excel, Lotus, and @Risk software, this text/software package offers both the instruction and the practice students need to begin solving complex business problems. It is designed for use as the primary learning tool in a short business simulation course (for advanced undergraduate and MBA students), or as a supplement to courses in investments, corporate finance, management science, marketing strategy, operations management, and actuarial science.

  • Sales Rank: #587447 in Books
  • Published on: 2000-11-03
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.28" h x .52" w x 7.44" l, .94 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 226 pages

Review
PREFACE 1. WHAT IS SIMULATION? Actual Applications of Simulation / What's Ahead? / Simulation Models Versus Analytic Models 2. RANDOM NUMBERS -- THE BUILDING BLOCKS OF SIMULATION PROBLEMS 3. USING SPREADSHEETS TO PERFORM SIMULATIONS Example 3.1: The Newsvendor Problem / Finding a Confidence Interval for Expected Profit / How Many Trials Do We Need? / Determination of the Optimal Order Quantity / Using Excel Data Tables to Repeat a Simulation / Performing the Newsvendor Simulation with the Excel Random Number Generator / Problems 4. AN INTRODUCTION TO @RISK Simulating the Newsvendor Example with @RISK / Explanation of Statistical Results / Conclusions 5. GENERATING NORMAL RANDOM VARIABLES Simulating Normal Demand with @RISK / Using the Graph Type Icons / Placing Target Values in the Statistics Output / Estimating the Mean and Standard Deviation of a Normal Distribution / Problems 6. APPLICATIONS OF SIMULATION TO CORPORATE FINANCIAL PLANNING Using the Triangular Distribution to Model Sales / Sensitivity Analysis with Tornado Graphs / Sensitivity Analysis with Scenarios / Alternative Modeling Strategies / Problems 7. SIMULATING A CASH BUDGET Example 7.1: Cash Budgeting / Problems 8. A SIMULATION APPROACH TO CAPACITY PLANNING Example 8.1: Wozac Capacity Example / Problems 9. SIMULATION AND BIDDING Uniform Random Variables / A Bidding Example / Problems 10. DEMING'S FUNNEL EXPERIMENT Simulating Rule 1 (Don't Touch That Funnel!) / Simulating Rule 2 / Comparison of Rules 1-4 / Lesson of the Funnel Experiment / Mathematical Explanation of the Funnel Experiment / Problems 11. THE TAGUCHI LOSS FUNCTIONS Using @RISK to Quantify Quality Loss / Problems 12. THE USE OF SIMULATION ON PROJECT MANAGEMENT The Widgetco Example / Estimating Probability Distribution of Projected Completion Time / Determining the Probability That an Activity is Critical / The Beta Distribution and Project Management / Problems 13. SIMULATING CRAPS (AND OTHER GAMES) Example 13.1: Simulating Craps / Confidence Interval for Winning at Craps / Problems 14. USING SIMULATION TO DETERMINE OPTIMAL MAINTENANCE POLICIES Example 14.1 / Problems 15. USING THE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION TO MODEL MACHINE LIFE Example 15.1: Simulating Equipment Replacement Decisions / Problems 16. SIMULATING STOCK PRICES AND OPTIONS Modeling the Price of a Stock / Estimating the Mean and Standard Deviation of Stock Returns from Historical Data / What Is an Option? / Pricing a Call Option / Example 16.1a: Pricing a European Call Option with @RISK / Analyzing a Portfolio of Investments / Example 16.1b: Simulating Portfolio Return / Problems 17. PRICING PATH-DEPENDENT AND EXOTIC OPTIONS Example 17.1: Pricing a Path Dependent Option / Problems 18. USING IMMUNIZATION TO MANAGE INTEREST RATE RISK Duration / Convexity / Immunization Against Interest Rate Risk / Example 18.1: Immunization Using Solver / Better Models for Interest Rate Risk / Problems 19. HEDGING WITH FUTURES Hedging with Futures: The Basics / Modeling Futures Risk with @RISK / Problems 20. MODELING MARKET SHARE Example 20.1a: Market Share Simulation / Is Advertising Worthwhile? / Example 20.1b: Advertising Effectiveness / To Coupon or Not to Coupon? / Example 20.1c: Should Coke Give Out Coupons? / Problems 21. GENERATING CORRELATED VARIABLES: DESIGNING A NEW PRODUCT Example 21.1 / Problems 22. SIMULATING SAMPLING PLANS WITH THE HYPERGEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTION Example 22.1: Simulating a Sampling Plan / Problems 23. SIMULATING INVENTORY MODELS Example 23.1: Simulating a Periodic Review Inventory System / Problems 24. SIMULATING A SINGLE-SERVER QUEUING SYSTEM Example 24.1: Queuing Simulation in @RISK / Estimating the Operating Characteristics of a Queuing System / Problems

About the Author
Wayne L. Winston is Professor Emeritus of Decision Sciences at the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and is now a Professor of Decision and Information Sciences at the Bauer College at the University of Houston. He has won more than 45 teaching awards, including the school-wide MBA award six times. His current interest is in showing how spreadsheet models can be used to solve business problems in all disciplines, particularly in finance, sports, and marketing. In addition to publishing more than 20 articles in leading journals, Dr. Winston has written such successful textbooks as OPERATIONS RESEARCH: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING: APPLICATIONS AND ALGORITHMS, SIMULATION MODELING WITH @RISK, DATA ANALYSIS FOR MANAGERS, SPREADSHEET MODELING AND APPLICATIONS, MATHLETICS, DATA ANALYSIS AND BUSINESS MODELING WITH EXCEL 2013, MARKETING ANALYTICS, and FINANCIAL MODELS USING SIMULATION AND OPTIMIZATION. He received his B.S. degree in mathematics from MIT and his Ph.D. in operations research from Yale.

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Kamis, 26 Desember 2013

Download PDF The Great Book of Tarot Card Combinations I: Major arcaneBy Efrael

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The Great Book of Tarot Card Combinations I: Major arcaneBy Efrael

This is a unique and special book, you will never find more help to doubts about the tarot. No photographs or sheets of drawing any arcane or esoteric appear; here only you find lettering, nearly 450 pages with more than 67,000 words; and about 2,000 combinations and meanings, you will assimilate with their single reading.

In general, I want to tell readers that is not a book for beginners, as explained in this book will not find photos or every arcane detail; Only combinations and meanings to understand the meaning that two or six arcane are given together. Thereafter, your intuition, clairvoyance and tarot knowledge do the rest, and should apply its meaning and response to her client, and not specifically what I have written.

I explain an example;

The Emperor + The High Priestess:
- Combination refusal concerning the themes of love, may represent an infidel, a secret lover, the secretary unreliable. If you represent produces stagnation due to lack of connection, there is no feeling,
- About the money, this combination makes sighted and frugal, you always have reserves, or money under the mattress.

The Priestess + The Emperor:
- This binding pairs with a balance of emotions and personality. He is strong, determined, loving, passionate, protective, and she is tender, noble, patient, intuitive, can read its shortcomings, calm their anxieties.


On the few occasions when The Higk Priestess represents the woman as love, it would never loving couple with a King. The only possible partner is Emperor, (accompanying the love card), because it could be even, a good or bad friend or partner. Also, if the query is about love, and accompanies the "Queen of Wands inverted" she is completely; the mistress. If this combination is added Empress or Queen different from the previous one; The Emperor + Priestess + The Queen Pentacles, (e.g.) the arcane changes its meaning and The High Priestess represents a hidden union, a secret link between the two, symbolizes both hiding something, they are accomplices, or even sometimes, they are united and not know it.

The High Priestess is the invisible link to the rest unless they go to the two front and rear. All this appears in the book; II - The High Priestess and the minor arcana. It was necessary to break down the meanings that the tarot is a very complex issue. If the accompanying Pages, then he discusses the relationship of a mother and her children of the influence of children

Another example of ambiguity;

The High Priestess inverted + The Fool inverted + The Devil:
- Vile and despicable woman. Abusive. Manipulative. False. Without empathy.
The High Priestess + Magician inverted + The Moon inverted + Devil inverted:
- Woman with supernatural powers. Bad witch.

The minor arcana give you the kind of relationship we have both; the meaning of; coins, cups, swords and wands, is something that can interpret the one who knows the arcane and your order, if you do not know can not understand this book.

This book will help you develop your intuition, reviewing combinations of two, three, five, and seven cards, seeing as how it changes their meaning is adding another sheet. Two arcana, can say everything or nothing. Usually the result varies greatly after having read all.

You learn to link meanings and understand why change them, making sequences, almost the same sheets, or varying one.

It will be very easy to learn, and then begin to make associations arcane with more confidence, your intuition will fly above the table recording every detail that you are telling tarot cards.


https://www.facebook.com/tarotefrael
http://elgranlibrodelascombinacionesdeltarot.blogspot.com.es

  • Sales Rank: #552469 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-12-11
  • Released on: 2015-12-11
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Senin, 23 Desember 2013

Free Ebook Rodolfo Walsh y la prensa clandestina, 1976-1978 (Coleccion El Periodista de Buenos Aires) (Spanish Edition)By Horacio Verbitsky

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Rodolfo Walsh y la prensa clandestina, 1976-1978 (Coleccion El Periodista de Buenos Aires) (Spanish Edition)By Horacio Verbitsky


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Rodolfo Walsh y la prensa clandestina, 1976-1978 (Coleccion El Periodista de Buenos Aires) (Spanish Edition)By Horacio Verbitsky

  • Sales Rank: #9208053 in Books
  • Published on: 1985
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 141 pages

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Rodolfo Walsh y la prensa clandestina, 1976-1978 (Coleccion El Periodista de Buenos Aires) (Spanish Edition)By Horacio Verbitsky PDF
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Sabtu, 21 Desember 2013

Download PDF The Mara Dyer Trilogy: The Unbecoming of Mara Dyer; The Evolution of Mara Dyer; The Retribution of Mara Dyer

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The Mara Dyer Trilogy: The Unbecoming of Mara Dyer; The Evolution of Mara Dyer; The Retribution of Mara Dyer

  • Sales Rank: #3982037 in Books
  • Published on: 1800
  • Binding: Paperback

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